Ron Paul can win the Election if his grassroots supporters continue to build upon their momentum and use their energy with eagle eye focus.
List of Primaries by Date and Delegate Total: http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthread.php?330516-How-Ron-Paul-Wins-the-Nomination-%28full-nomination-schedule-delegate-s-and-analysis%29
Stage 1: Early States
Now – February 4
*Green = Nevada, Purple = Iowa, Blue = Florida, White = South Carolina, Red = New Hampshire
The first step, and what every activist should be focusing on, is the first five primary states. This includes Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Florida and Nevada. I have broken the country up to five regions to share an idea about how to make this work. It is important to get feet on the ground in these states in order to do canvasing, voter registration, sign bombs, meet-ups, recruiting, training, etc.
The following article contains a strategy for winning in Iowa:
Aside from Phone Banking which can be done from anywhere in the country, Canvasing is the most important effort to be done. If you are able to make it out to one of these states for an extended period of time, do so, if you can only make it up for a weekend or two, do that. Do what you can.
The best resource for Door-to-Door Canvasing is the new Ron Paul Super Brochure:
How to Get Involved in an Early Primary State
Step 1: Sign Up to Meet-Up and Join every meet-up in that State.
Step 2: Schedule a meeting, or RSVP to one, that coincides with your arrival/stay.
Step 3: Find transportation. You can do this cheap-free through Ride Share on Craig’s List. If you are in the Mid-West or East Coast Mega Bus is another way to travel cheap.
Step 4: Find a place to stay through Couch Surfing or WWOOF-USA, depending on the length of your stay.
Stage 2: Your State
February 5 – March 6
After the Nevada Primary everyone should take what they have learned from Stage 1 and apply that to their state. If you live in one of the five early primary states start to travel out to your surrounding region to help out. Use the same resources listed above for Stage 1.
Stage 3: California
March 7 – June 5
Now it is time to make sure Ron Paul wins California. If your state has already held its Primary start making a trip out to California, perhaps stopping through other states that have yet to hold their Primary. If you live in a State that has not held it’s Primary stay home and continue to work. Once you have voted head out west.
Why This Strategy?
It appears that Ron Paul will be able to establish himself of one of the Top 3 Candidates if he can have a strong showing in the month of January. Iowa will be an important contest. A conservative goal would be to win Iowa, take second in New Hampshire and Nevada, and third in South Carolina and Florida. This will dwindle the field down to three candidates; Romney, Paul and a Third (Cain or Gingrich).
With the contest down to three candidates, Paul will be able to start winning a fair share of states moving forward. This is where the field will be taken down to two candidates, most likely Paul and Romney. California will be a huge win to solidify Paul as the Nominee after a drawn-out Primary Season. Only Ohio and Utah follow California (and the other Primaries held on the same day). Utah will no doubt go to Romney, and Ohio will be up for grabs.
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In all honesty, I wouldn’t count Ohio and it’s electoral votes out just yet.
Particularly when one looks at the election results here this past month, wherein the people of the state overwhelmingly stated they are opposed to the socialism of the liberal left/Obama administration, with it’s overwhelming vote to amend the states Constitution, to outlaw enforcement within the state, of any provision within the Obamacare law, particularly the “individual mandate” clause of the legislation. All that said, thanks for sharing the link to this article, nicely done.
My regards to you sir/madam
John
P.S. I wasn’t clear on something. I was saying I wouldn’t count Ohio and it’s electoral votes out, provided Representative Paul is the Republican Nominee.
Here’s my view.
I think Paul winning Iowa is the key here. Without it you have nothing. Him placing 2nd or 3rd will be overlooked (just like with the Iowa straw poll).
Here’s my map of how things can play out if he does win Iowa.
1.Iowa-RP 1st
1a.Massive money bomb to follow big win in Iowa. Will need this cash for SC and Florida.
2.NH-RP 2nd (can be close if Mitt fails to crack the top 3 in Iowa and make a headline)
3.SC-RP needs to place 2nd to still be considered a front-runner. If he fails to do so, Florida can get ugly. For some reason Florida is a tough state to crack. But if he places high in SC and continues his push I think he can place top 3 in Florida.
4. Nevada-A no brainer. This is RP’s state to lose.
5. Maine is a caucus state. Even though it’s Romney territory, the grassroots organization with Caucuses is profound and can help RP out there.
6. Minnesota and Colorado-Again both caucus states. This bodes well for Dr. Paul.
7. Arizona-Possible to take that state.
8. Michigan-Romney
9. Washington-Caucus…bodes well for RP
After that it’s Super Tuesday and it’s up in the air. Hopefully, if he makes it this far, Texas will help him out.
I think the key for RP is to take full advantage of the early Caucus states. The way the primary schedule works out, most of the early states are caucus states. After that, it’s your formal primary process. We need to be organized to take those early caucus states. If we can get to Super Tuesday with Romney/Paul as the only two candidates left then it’s all hands on deck. Romney may be able to pull in the corporate $$$…but if Ron has a run like this there’s no telling how big the money bombs/fund-raising can get. He’s going to need some $$ after Iowa to help out in SC/Florida. If he does win Iowa…we need to throw the biggest money bomb to date. Guys like Cain and Newt won’t be able to match us on that end.